Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:58 AM UTC.
Analytics
myfrenda is down $59.72 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 3 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:58 AM UTC.
$20.73 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 22 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 708.86 | $0.726 | $690.78 | +$176.35 |
 Will there be no Hormuz agreement? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | 1h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 22:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
33 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 00:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 00:58 UTC
polymarket positions
5 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 22:06 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $30.33 and losing ones cost $27.88 across 3 settled positions.
The largest win was $28.83 on “Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $27.88 on “Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 34 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.02K across 33 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 544 |
| $0.890 |
| $503.2 |
| +$19.04 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 495 | $0.730 | $368.78 | +$7.43 |
 Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | No | 244 | $0.919 | $224.48 | +$0.2 |
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | No | 495 | $0.270 | $138.6 | +$4.95 |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.909 | $138 | +$1.7 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 120 | $0.807 | $104.4 | +$7.6 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 100.04 | $0.980 | $97.94 | -$0.06 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 105.01 | $0.827 | $85.9 | -$0.99 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | No | 100 | $0.769 | $76.4 | -$0.5 |
 Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 100 | $0.700 | $71.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 91 | $0.770 | $68.71 | -$1.37 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 999.2 | $0.251 | $54.96 | -$195.69 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.694 | $46 | -$9.5 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | Yes | 544 | $0.100 | $38.08 | -$16.35 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | No | 49 | $0.760 | $37 | -$0.25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 150.93 | $0.225 | $33.96 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | No | 80.35 | $0.293 | $33.59 | +$10.06 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 100 | $0.290 | $29.5 | +$0.5 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.950 | $24.86 | +$1.11 |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.743 | $22.17 | -$0.12 |
| Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 91 | $0.220 | $20.93 | +$0.91 |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | No | 244.84 | $0.071 | $19.59 | +$2.06 |
| Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026? | No | 105 | $0.169 | $18.38 | +$0.68 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 120 | $0.173 | $18 | -$2.8 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.180 |
| $18 |
| 1h ago |
| Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.220 | $3.3 | 3h ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 15 | $0.770 | $11.55 | 3h ago |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 3h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 3h ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.291 | $11.64 | 3h ago |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.743 | $29.72 | 3h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 3h ago |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 3h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | 3h ago |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | 3h ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No | buy | 99 | $0.270 | $26.73 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.730 | $72.27 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.730 | $72.27 | 3h ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No | buy | 99 | $0.270 | $26.73 | 3h ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No | buy | 99 | $0.270 | $26.73 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.730 | $72.27 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.730 | $72.27 | 3h ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No | buy | 99 | $0.270 | $26.73 | 3h ago |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No | buy | 99 | $0.270 | $26.73 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.730 | $72.27 | 3h ago |
 Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 4h ago |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 4h ago |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 15 | $0.910 | $13.65 | 4h ago |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | 4h ago |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 30 | $0.910 | $27.3 | 4h ago |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 30.84 | $0.078 | $2.4 | 4h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.910 | $27.3 | 4h ago |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | 4h ago |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | 5h ago |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | 5h ago |
| Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No | buy | 33 | $0.220 | $7.26 | 6h ago |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No | buy | 58 | $0.770 | $44.66 | 6h ago |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No | buy | 33 | $0.770 | $25.41 | 6h ago |
| Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No | buy | 58 | $0.220 | $12.76 | 6h ago |
 Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 3:59 AM?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 6h ago |
| Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 12:59 AM?No | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | buy | 49 | $0.760 | $37.24 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 50.88 | $0.234 | $11.9 | 6h ago |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 37 | $0.070 | $2.59 | 6h ago |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 37 | $0.920 | $34.04 | 6h ago |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | 7h ago |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 25 | $0.070 | $1.75 | 7h ago |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 37 | $0.070 | $2.59 | 7h ago |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 37 | $0.920 | $34.04 | 7h ago |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | 7h ago |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 7h ago |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | 7h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | 7h ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.