Analytics
Yes is at 55.5%, down 5 points from 60.5% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 55.5% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “AP calls the Senate by...?”.
$706.31 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $236.89, with a 19.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 32 trades, $144.37 bought Yes and $140.09 bought No.
The largest Yes position is shiifoo with 120 shares; the largest No position is Antony82 with 124.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 60.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 55.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Antony82 | No | 124.4 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 120 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 67.23 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-senate-byptptpt
| aliiz |
| Yes |
| 60 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 49.77 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 26.4 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 25 |
| myfrenda | Yes | 20 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 20 |
| omsode | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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