Analytics
Yes is at 75.5%, down 4.5 points from 80% at 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Across 22 price reads from 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC to 23 Oct 2026, 15:31 UTC, the highest read was 85.5% on 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC and the lowest 67% on 22 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC.
It is one of 10 markets under “AP calls the Senate by...?”.
$659.8 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.75K since listing. The order book holds $10.67K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 45 trades, $592.67 bought Yes and $130.44 bought No.
The largest Yes position is shiifoo with 240 shares; the largest No position is Antony82 with 249. Ten wallets hold 91% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, 13 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 3:30 PM UTC
Hourly closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 22 Oct, 16:00 UTC – 23 Oct, 15:00 UTC, chart shows 60%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 80.0% |
| 23 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 75.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Antony82 | No | 248.72 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 240 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 108.8 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-senate-byptptpt
| pokerkarim |
| No |
| 95.53 |
| sweetj | Yes | 80 |
| AJSV | No | 60.74 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 58 |
| aliiz | Yes | 41.99 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 40 |
| bernardbulletin | Yes | 21.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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