Analytics
Yes is at 81%, up 26 points from 55.5% when the market opened on 8 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 81% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 69%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 80% on 9 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Next James Bond announced by...?”.
$333.35 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.48K since listing. The order book holds $395.6, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 155 trades, $1.12K bought Yes and $774.37 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Rundown-Regard with 641 shares; the largest No position is PCjT1viNMz with 649. Ten wallets hold 88.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 8 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | 55.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 81.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PCjT1viNMz | No | 649.22 |
| Rundown-Regard | Yes | 641.11 |
| Tenebrus7 | Yes | 600 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor in a starring role of a feature film by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-announced-by
| omsode |
| No |
| 312 |
| Gr4pefruit7000 | Yes | 298.57 |
| AJSV | No | 261.59 |
| Zypf7 | No | 100 |
| dafguj | Yes | 96 |
| myfrenda | No | 90 |
| Bobic | Yes | 76.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
