Analytics
ToaOfTheDuck is down $281.27 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-11 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 139.87 | $0.036 | $2.73 | -$2.27 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-11 11:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 15:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 15:26 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-11 11:38 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $563.38 and losing ones cost $239.67 across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $34.39 on “Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on December 26?” (Yes); the largest loss, $30.35 on “Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 8?” (Yes).
It has traded 326 markets. Its open positions are worth $14.67 across 58 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 4.26 |
| $0.470 |
| $2.39 |
| +$0.39 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.360 | $2.35 | -$2.65 |
 Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.248 | $2.28 | -$30.02 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.540 | $1.63 | -$0.37 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.170 | $0.94 | -$5.86 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.01 | $0.650 | $0.84 | +$0.18 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.01 | +$0.01 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 1m ago. Watch only — not advice.
