Latest trade
Mar 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:16 PM UTC.
Analytics
ToaOfTheDuck is down $281.27 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-11 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:16 PM UTC.
$1.45 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Mar 11, 2026 UTC to Mar 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 139.87 | $0.036 | $2.73 | -$2.27 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-11 11:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 14:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 14:16 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-11 11:38 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $563.38 and losing ones cost $239.67 across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $34.39 on “Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on December 26?” (Yes); the largest loss, $30.35 on “Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 8?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Mar 2026. It has traded 326 markets. Its open positions are worth $14.67 across 58 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 4.26 |
| $0.470 |
| $2.39 |
| +$0.39 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.360 | $2.35 | -$2.65 |
 Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.248 | $2.28 | -$30.02 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.540 | $1.63 | -$0.37 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.170 | $0.94 | -$5.86 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.01 | $0.650 | $0.84 | +$0.18 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.000 | $0.01 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.150 |
| $1.5 |
| Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 13?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.240 | $1.68 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 12?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or higher on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.460 | $1.42 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.390 | $0.39 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.390 | $1.56 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.340 | $4.76 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 11?Yes | buy | 8.35 | $0.470 | $3.92 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.220 | $0.41 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.220 | $1.35 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or higher on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 12?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.