Latest trade
Sep 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:27 PM UTC.
Analytics
MrGrinche is down $920.84 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 15 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:27 PM UTC.
$40.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 21 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Sep 7, 2024 UTC to Sep 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.12K | $0.110 | $205.02 | -$470.41 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 322.66 | $0.120 | $38.72 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-15 15:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 13:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 13:27 UTC
polymarket positions
16 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-15 15:54 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $457.79 and losing ones cost $502.3 across 15 settled positions. 66.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $341.38 on “Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?” (No); the largest loss, $400 on “Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Sep 2026. It has traded 23 markets. Its open positions are worth $205.02 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 5.68 |
| $0.120 |
| $0.68 |
| Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.120 | $0.24 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.92 | $0.120 | $0.35 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.25 | $0.120 | $1.35 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.120 | $0.23 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.130 | $28.6 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.116 | $157.37 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.110 | $307.91 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.100 | $140 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.183 | $250 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.182 | $250 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaMaja Chwalinska | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12.33 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.012 | $20 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 149.81 | $0.668 | $100 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 83.67 | $0.490 | $41 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 408.89 | $0.489 | $200 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 130 | $0.790 | $102.7 | Aug 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 321.72 | $0.093 | $29.92 | May 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 464.35 | $0.077 | $35.75 | Apr 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | sell | 250.54 | $0.151 | $37.83 | Apr 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 203.7 | $0.230 | $46.85 | Apr 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 152.79 | $0.220 | $33.61 | Apr 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 50.92 | $0.215 | $10.95 | Apr 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 179.1 | $0.077 | $13.79 | Apr 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.112 | $1 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 770.62 | $0.104 | $80 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.084 | $40 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 398.49 | $0.201 | $80 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 516.28 | $0.077 | $40 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.080 | $60 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 120.71 | $0.828 | $99.95 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes | buy | 106.93 | $0.748 | $80 | Apr 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 573.36 | $0.174 | $100 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 120.71 | $0.828 | $100 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 494.36 | $0.809 | $400 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.880 | $132 | Oct 23, 2024 UTC |
 Iran Nuke in 2024?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Oct 23, 2024 UTC |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Sep 30, 2024 UTC |
 Iran strike on US military before October?No | buy | 18 | $0.971 | $17.48 | Sep 13, 2024 UTC |
 Macron out as president of France in 2024?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
 Macron impeached in 2024?No | buy | 40 | $0.950 | $38 | Sep 7, 2024 UTC |
| Iran Nuke in 2024?No | buy | 70 | $0.860 | $60.2 | Sep 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will France ban Telegram before October?No | buy | 30 | $0.955 | $28.65 | Sep 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.061 | $12.2 | Sep 7, 2024 UTC |
| Macron out as president of France in 2024?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Sep 7, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.