Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 15.5% on 1 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 13 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 2.7% on 2 Jan 2025. $1.79M traded over the market's life.
256 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 366 points · 1 Jan 2025 – 31 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 15.5% |
| 31 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 897.78K |
| arbitragesus | Yes | 51.58K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 41.06K |
qqThis is a negrisk market group over which will be the top AI model on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 40.04K |
| Neat-Sledge | Yes | 19.71K |
| Vovovovovovovo | Yes | 11.5K |
| Viktorduf | Yes | 9.29K |
| Equanimity | Yes | 7.65K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 7.57K |
| sb911 | Yes | 7.04K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
