Analytics
| Market | Status | Yes | 24h vol | Liquidity | Close | Catalog observed | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 0.3% | $3.19K | $32.74K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Active |
| 0.3% |
| $2.76K |
| $23.49K |
| Dec 9, 2026 |
| 28m ago |
Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 0.3% | $2.39K | $30.47K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 0.3% | $2.25K | $22.66K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 0.2% | $2.16K | $22.98K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
 Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 91.5% | $1.12K | $2.28K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 0.5% | $809.79 | $26.39K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 76.0% | $623.72 | $18.22K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 29.0% | $449.25 | $2.02K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 6.9% | $159.47 | $10.2K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Echo" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 26.0% | $148.46 | $531.17 | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 0.5% | $130.33 | $23.57K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 0.4% | $124.8 | $27.6K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?fed-chair / fed | Active | 15.0% | $116.92 | $4.4K | Jan 1, 2027 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 32.5% | $64.2 | $4.85K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
 Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?fed-rates / economy | Active | 4.4% | $46.3 | $29.45K | Jan 1, 2027 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 18.4% | $32.49 | $14.43K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will no statement by Warsh happen during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 1.1% | $27.04 | $402.76 | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 26.0% | $21.33 | $4.23K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by September 30, 2026?politics / fed-chair | Active | 4.4% | $18.44 | $384.01 | Oct 1, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 20.0% | $17.42 | $651.71 | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 38.6% | $16.09 | $7.7K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 4.0% | $10.38 | $6.47K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 25.5% | $3.85 | $1.79K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 73.0% | $3.57 | $624.53 | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 41.5% | $1.69 | $1.79K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 0.5% | $24.34K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?parlays / hide-from-new | Active | 2.6% | $3.95K | Jan 1, 2027 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 64.5% | $1.52K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Dissent" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 19.5% | $7.91K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Luck" or "Lucky" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 47.0% | $368.97 | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 52.5% | $307.72 | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 7.0% | $18.64K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 50.0% | $558.43 | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?parlays / hide-from-new | Active | 96.2% | $5.11K | Jan 1, 2027 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Productivity" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 87.5% | $3.43K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 9.5% | $10.8K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?politics / fed-chair | Active | 10.5% | $765.07 | Jan 1, 2027 | 28m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 85.0% | $2.86K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 84.0% | $1.81K | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Pressure" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 71.0% | $446.94 | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference?fed / fomc | Active | 46.0% | $353.39 | Sep 16, 2026 | 24m ago | Inspect details |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?fed-rates / economic-policy | Active | 0.4% | $32.48K | Dec 9, 2026 | 28m ago | Inspect details |