Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 16 Sep 2026, the highest close was 53% on 13 Sep 2026 and the lowest 31% on 16 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 31% on 16 Sep 2026. $3.38K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 17, 8:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 16 Sep 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 45.5% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 31.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sukbae Lee | Yes | 553.95 |
| SuSuDORIS | Yes | 103.46 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| LAIKERSINAARMY | Yes | 41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-september-press-conference-20260909
| Evlampius | Yes | 35.71 |
| Esteemed-Power | Yes | 14.29 |
| Taut-Divider | Yes | 13.16 |
| Solidtrading | Yes | 13.16 |
| Kingslayer669 | Yes | 12.2 |
| LisaTaylor-584 | Yes | 12.2 |
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