Analytics
Yes is at 89%, up 7 points from 82% when the market opened on 13 Aug 2026.
Across the 75 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 17 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 89%; a month before, 79.5%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 50% on 16 Aug 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “NCAA Football: USC 2026 Win Total”.
$531.45 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $274.88, with a 16.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 44 trades, $217.86 bought Yes and $37.6 bought No.
The largest Yes position is IUSEBOT with 69 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 25.
Trading closes on 27 Dec 2026, 58 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 82.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 89.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| IUSEBOT | Yes | 69.22 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 24.67 |
| janglinjack | Yes | 23 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-usc-2026-win-total
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| No |
| 23 |
| Haradwaith | No | 20.01 |
| VonVonagh | No | 20 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 5.88 |
| Practical-Beverage | Yes | 1.27 |
| maomao228 | Yes | 0.04 |
| D222222222 | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
