Analytics
Yes is at 35%, up 2.5 points from 32.5% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 36% on 28 Oct 2026.
46.0 to 48.9 is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026”, ahead of 43.0 to 45.9 at 26%.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.94K since listing. The order book holds $565.85, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 178 trades, $873.94 bought Yes and $2.08K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 308 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 552. Ten wallets hold 84.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Nov 2026, 23 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 32.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 35.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 551.68 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 308.34 |
| spxtest | Yes | 242 |
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for November 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for November 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for November 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on November 20, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-november-2026
| tradetosurvive1 |
| Yes |
| 210.64 |
| AiBird | No | 110.79 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 102.6 |
| lissartter | No | 80 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 60 |
| JsonStatham | Yes | 50 |
| FishHunter | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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