Analytics
Yes is at 1.7%, down 7.8 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 27 Oct 2026.
40.0 to 42.9 ranks seventh of the 7 outcomes in “University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026”. 46.0 to 48.9 leads at 35%; 43.0 to 45.9 is at 27%.
$744.35 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $284.3, with a 2.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 37 trades, $8.34 bought Yes and $429.8 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 147 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 552. Ten wallets hold 95.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Nov 2026, 23 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 9.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 551.68 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 146.84 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 121.82 |
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for November 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for November 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for November 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on November 20, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-november-2026
| jackli003 | Yes | 72.86 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 41.03 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 40 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 30 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 20.01 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 20 |
| Better-Browsing | Yes | 12.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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