Resolved No on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 8 Oct 2026, the highest close was 26.5% on 12 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 5.5% on 17 Sep 2026. $5.72K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 1:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.43K |
| leegunner | Yes | 2.31K |
| di2 | Yes | 2K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-winner-2026-27
New to prediction markets?
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 1.77K |
| ytho | Yes | 1K |
| balthazar | Yes | 764.33 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 174.58 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| forgotmydinner | Yes | 80 |
| SpringlyFawl | Yes | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.