Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?

politicsResolved

No, settled Aug 4, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.9K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 4, 2026 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 4 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 28% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 28% on 12 Jul 2026. $1.87K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 4 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Jul 2026	17.5%
4 Aug 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
willsom	Yes	221.29
.Menthe	Yes	100
Jade Beacon E3EA	Yes	45.59

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.