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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Aileen Cannon be the next Supreme Court nominee?Yes | sell | 12.07 | $0.030 | $0.36 | 18d ago |
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| sell |
| 7 |
| $0.003 |
| $0.02 |
| 18d ago |
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.005 | $0.1 | 18d ago |
Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.004 | $0.04 | 18d ago |
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.027 | $0.19 | 18d ago |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | 18d ago |
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 54.36 | $0.002 | $0.11 | 18d ago |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.009 | $0.18 | 18d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes | sell | 26.78 | $0.006 | $0.16 | 18d ago |
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | sell | 61.98 | $0.003 | $0.19 | 18d ago |
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.55 | $0.008 | $0.14 | 18d ago |
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 18d ago |
Israeli forces enter Beirut by August 31?Yes | sell | 24.54 | $0.011 | $0.26 | 18d ago |
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?Yes | sell | 34.78 | $0.008 | $0.26 | 18d ago |
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 37.9 | $0.003 | $0.11 | 18d ago |
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 67.5 | $0.002 | $0.17 | 18d ago |
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.089 | $0.45 | 18d ago |
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.016 | $0.32 | 18d ago |
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.004 | $0.2 | 18d ago |
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 15.12 | $0.009 | $0.13 | 18d ago |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.012 | $0.6 | 18d ago |
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes | sell | 26.39 | $0.026 | $0.69 | 18d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.22 | $0.003 | $0.14 | 18d ago |
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes | sell | 85.53 | $0.005 | $0.43 | 18d ago |
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.97 | $0.079 | $0.79 | 18d ago |
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.018 | $0.09 | 18d ago |
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | 18d ago |
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 22.58 | $0.018 | $0.41 | 18d ago |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 24.24 | $0.040 | $0.97 | 18d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.21 | 18d ago |
Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.006 | $0.57 | 18d ago |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?No | sell | 33.07 | $0.021 | $0.69 | 18d ago |
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 93.06 | $0.004 | $0.37 | 18d ago |
Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?Yes | sell | 19.54 | $0.053 | $1.03 | 18d ago |
Lecornu out as French PM by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.002 | $0.6 | 18d ago |
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.018 | $1.04 | 18d ago |
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.66 | $0.138 | $1.33 | 18d ago |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 48.74 | $0.032 | $1.56 | 18d ago |
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?Yes | sell | 55.86 | $0.007 | $0.37 | 18d ago |
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.26 | $0.015 | $0.42 | 18d ago |
Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.024 | $0.74 | 18d ago |
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?No | sell | 44.44 | $0.028 | $1.25 | 18d ago |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | sell | 18.45 | $0.115 | $2.12 | 18d ago |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 23.58 | $0.090 | $2.12 | 18d ago |
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 60.86 | $0.033 | $1.99 | 18d ago |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.015 | $1.2 | 18d ago |
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes | sell | 73.8 | $0.030 | $2.23 | 18d ago |
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?No | sell | 12.45 | $0.200 | $2.49 | 18d ago |
Next Kimi K model released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 175 | $0.007 | $1.29 | 18d ago |
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?No | sell | 59.74 | $0.020 | $1.19 | 18d ago |