Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 41 points from 44% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 330 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 3.1% on 29 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.9%; a month before, 4%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 12% on 14 Dec 2025.
It is one of 2 markets under “Peak US National Debt before 2027?”.
$400 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.12K since listing. The order book holds $2.95K, with a 3.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 147 trades, $1.71K bought Yes and $2.79K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Several-Date with 2.8K shares; the largest No position is thebetter1234 with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 89.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 330 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 44.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Several-Date | Yes | 2.78K |
| thebetter1234 | No | 2.08K |
| MaxPowell | No | 2.04K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-before-2027
| 64MGX75VLQ |
| No |
| 1.6K |
| KTKK | Yes | 1.15K |
| Epic424 | No | 669.45 |
| outcomes | Yes | 543.65 |
| Ruxpin84 | Yes | 518.11 |
| HenrySymoneidis | Yes | 454.17 |
| 48MGX75VLQ | No | 240.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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