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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 750 | $0.904 | $738.38 | +$60.38 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | buy | 78.01 | $0.963 | $75.12 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 320 |
| $0.881 |
| $309.28 |
| +$27.28 |
 Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? | No | 90 | $0.900 | $82.44 | +$1.44 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.920 |
| $27.6 |
| Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | sell | 207.6 | $0.981 | $203.66 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionYes | sell | 141.68 | $0.987 | $139.88 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.996 | $1.01 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $4.75-5.00 in June?No | sell | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP?No | sell | 1 | $0.989 | $0.99 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/ABOP?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.037 | $0.57 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 New excavation beneath Giza pyramids announced before July?No | sell | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.977 | $5.91 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Ronnie Brunswijk be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the next government of Suriname be VHP/ABOP?No | sell | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/NPS?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?No | buy | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Measles pandemic before July?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Syria hold national elections before July?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 China x India military clash by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/ABOP?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.991 | $0.99 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?No | sell | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Maya Parbhoe be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | sell | 0.89 | $0.999 | $0.89 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?No | buy | 34 | $0.800 | $27.2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?No | buy | 16 | $0.780 | $12.48 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?No | sell | 398.98 | $0.999 | $398.58 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 250 | $0.905 | $226.25 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 163.33 | $0.810 | $132.3 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| New excavation beneath Giza pyramids announced before July?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before July?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | Jun 30, 2025 |