Analytics
Yes is at 58%, up 4 points from 54% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 328 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71.5% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 31% on 26 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 54%; a month before, 53.5%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 41% on 19 May 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Peak US National Debt before 2027?”.
$683.18 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $131.42, with a 60.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Ruxpin84 with 43 shares; the largest No position is Epic424 with 129. Ten wallets hold 90.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 328 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 54.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 58.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-before-2027
| KTKK |
| Yes |
| 36.04 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 28.74 |
| S888 | Yes | 18.79 |
| nicoco89 | No | 10.6 |
| simulacrum3 | Yes | 8.8 |
| 63sdf | No | 8.8 |
| pestopasta | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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