Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 207 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 25 Sep 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 18 Sep 2026 and the lowest 3.8% on 9 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 57 points up, to 76.7% on 22 May 2026. $27.84K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 26, 5:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 207 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 25 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 37.5% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| warptrading | No | 375 |
| Entire-Handholding | No | 274 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | No | 259.82 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in
6 more markets, none above 6.0%.
| Seldon26 | No | 178.56 |
| Garmonbozia | No | 100 |
| akunai | No | 100 |
| RITB123 | No | 77.05 |
| ng6000 | No | 62.53 |
| Lavincey | No | 61.08 |
| lemov | No | 45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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