Analytics
Yes is at 50.5%, up 1 point from 49.5% when the market opened on 3 Mar 2026.
Across the 221 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 13 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 42.5%; a month before, 60%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 18.5% on 6 Mar 2026.
$15 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.91K since listing. The order book holds $26.12K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 152 trades, $344.85 bought Yes and $553.27 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Hot-Skull with 253 shares; the largest No position is singularityman with 164. Ten wallets hold 73.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 221 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hot-Skull | Yes | 253.21 |
| singularityman | No | 163.89 |
| cosmicsteaks | Yes | 109 |
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-missouri-abortion-sex-change-for-minors-ban-pass
| Haradwaith |
| No |
| 61.86 |
| DuneMentat | No | 53.91 |
| sunnynotbunny | No | 51.83 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 51.09 |
| Hoodedslinky8 | No | 50.66 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 50 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 45.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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