- What is the “Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.27% in September?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.27% in September? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- Right now Yes trades at 1.2¢ and No at 98.8¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 1.2% for Yes and 98.8% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 30, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($2.35K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($511.26) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
