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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | Yes | 60 | $0.870 | $48.87 | -$3.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?Yes | sell | 8.61 | $0.939 | $8.08 | 19h ago |
 |
| No |
| 60 |
| $0.820 |
| $48.3 |
| -$0.9 |
 Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.910 | $44 | -$1.5 |
 Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | No | 50 | $0.843 | $42.3 | +$0.15 |
 Concrete FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 60 | $0.800 | $36.9 | -$11.1 |
 Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.770 | $36.75 | -$1.75 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.820 | $35.5 | -$5.5 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.810 | $34.4 | +$2 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | No | 40 | $0.825 | $32.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 40 | $0.822 | $31.8 | -$1.08 |
 Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.040 | $31.3 | +$23.3 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 40 | $0.860 | $31.2 | -$3.2 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 45.41 | $0.746 | $30.9 | -$2.99 |
 Will Chris Bates win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year? | No | 60 | $0.668 | $30.24 | -$9.84 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.820 | $29.4 | -$3.4 |
 Linera FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 30 | $0.946 | $28.53 | +$0.15 |
 StripChain FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 30 | $0.920 | $27.45 | -$0.15 |
 Umia listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? | No | 30 | $0.957 | $27.45 | -$1.26 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12? | Yes | 60 | $0.717 | $27 | -$16 |
 Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 99.50 in September? | Yes | 40 | $0.735 | $26.6 | -$2.8 |
 Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? | No | 30 | $0.900 | $26.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.930 | $25.65 | -$2.25 |
 Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.160 | $24 | +$8 |
 Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 30 | $0.760 | $22.65 | -$0.15 |
 Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | No | 45.64 | $0.771 | $22.59 | -$12.58 |
| sell |
| 153.84 |
| $0.112 |
| $17.28 |
| 19h ago |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?No | sell | 36.03 | $0.500 | $18.02 | 21d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?No | buy | 14 | $0.066 | $0.93 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.090 | $0.99 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 4.9 | $0.500 | $2.45 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 26d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | 26d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 13?No | buy | 9 | $0.114 | $1.03 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 26d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 26d ago |
 Will Gen.G Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?No | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 13?No | buy | 9 | $0.110 | $0.99 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 13?No | buy | 7 | $0.140 | $0.98 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 13?No | buy | 13 | $0.070 | $0.91 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.130 | $0.76 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?No | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.105 | $1.05 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 13?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 27d ago |