Analytics
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
geopoliticsActive
Closes Apr 1, 2028 UTC
Yes
10.4%
No
89.5%
Yes costs 10.45¢No costs 89.55¢
24h Volume
$27.5K
Total volume
$27.5K
Liquidity
$35.8K
Closes
Apr 1, 2028 UTC
Topic roomNobel Prize
Where it stands
Yes is at 10.4%, up 3.3 points from 7.1% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 30 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10.9% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.6%; a month before, 8.6%.
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms ranks third of the 17 outcomes in “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027”. Jimmy Lai leads at 10.5%; Committee to Protect Journalists is at 10.5%.
Across the latest 131 trades, $250.95 bought Yes and $7.62K bought No; the largest was a $7.13K sell of No at 95.3¢.
Ten wallets hold 95% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 9:37 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 7.1% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 10.4% |
All outcomes
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
- 1Jimmy Lai$3.41K traded10.5%
- 2Committee to Protect Journalists$9.85K traded10.5%
- 3Sudan's Emergency Response RoomsThis market
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Anjun | No | 888.99 |
| AiBird | Yes | 852.98 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 725.25 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on its written rules. Trading closes on 1 Apr 2028.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2027
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Nobel Prize
- Nominations that nominators announce themselves, the only public part of the field
- The Committee's recent choices: human rights defenders, press freedom and humanitarian work have each been recognised in the last decade
- Wars, ceasefires and peace deals in the months before the vote