Analytics
Yes is at 6.3%, down 8.2 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 30% on 18 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4.7% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 30%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 30% on 18 Oct 2026.
It is one of 29 markets under “Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?”.
$1.12K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.82K since listing. The order book holds $1.29K, with a 3.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 168 trades, $583.87 bought Yes and $3.09K bought No; the largest was a $1.21K buy of No at 75.0¢.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 517 shares; the largest No position is Parz1vaI with 382. Ten wallets hold 79.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 37 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 7:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 6.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 516.57 |
| Parz1vaI | No | 382 |
| DREAMBIG. | No | 260 |
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-2026-ballon-dor-ceremony-20261016121846566
16 more markets, none above 68.5%.
| Socialista |
| Yes |
| 187 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 175.32 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 162.8 |
| mewmew1 | No | 102 |
| lissartter | No | 88.79 |
| AJSV | Yes | 79.41 |
| Praescientia | No | 72.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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