Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 716.51 | $0.315 | $332.1 | +$106.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 170.73 | $0.398 | $67.96 | 1h ago |
|
| No |
| 312.95 |
| $0.662 |
| $201.85 |
| -$5.24 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 308.23 | $0.487 | $164.9 | +$14.91 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 209.3 | $0.717 | $149.65 | -$0.34 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 150.52 | $0.930 | $142.24 | +$2.26 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 525.56 | $0.389 | $141.9 | -$62.61 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 153 | $0.915 | $141.53 | +$1.53 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 170.24 | $0.791 | $136.96 | +$2.2 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 160.3 | $0.770 | $135.46 | +$12 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 625.05 | $0.248 | $121.26 | -$33.78 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 97.22 | $0.720 | $88.47 | +$18.47 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 157.89 | $0.380 | $86.05 | +$26.05 |
 Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 86.53 | $0.520 | $83.85 | +$38.85 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 606.51 | $0.157 | $81.88 | -$13.47 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | No | 263.15 | $0.190 | $80.26 | +$30.26 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 100.89 | $0.730 | $80.21 | +$6.51 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 87.4 | $0.858 | $79.1 | +$4.11 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 77.77 | $0.900 | $73.69 | +$3.69 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 151.55 | $0.443 | $73.5 | +$6.32 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 83.33 | $0.840 | $72.08 | +$2.08 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 88.6 | $0.790 | $71.99 | +$1.99 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 76.92 | $0.910 | $71.92 | +$1.92 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 81.39 | $0.860 | $71.22 | +$1.22 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 76.93 | $0.910 | $71.16 | +$1.15 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 140 | $0.500 | $69.3 | -$0.7 |
| buy |
| 11.44 |
| $0.480 |
| $5.49 |
| 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 60.72 | $0.610 | $37.04 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 114.75 | $0.610 | $70 | 3h ago |
 Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Bmagic | buy | 34.88 | $0.430 | $15 | 6h ago |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.11 | $0.320 | $14.12 | 8h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 9h ago |
 Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | 10h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 107.9 | $0.200 | $21.58 | 11h ago |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sinners (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier PlayoffsSinners | buy | 41.66 | $0.360 | $15 | 11h ago |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BPARIVISION | buy | 44.11 | $0.340 | $15 | 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | 12h ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.880 | $7.08 | 12h ago |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BGamerLegion | buy | 32.6 | $0.460 | $15 | 15h ago |
| Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsNoir Verse | buy | 30 | $0.480 | $14.4 | 15h ago |
| Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Acend (+1.5)3DMAX | buy | 32.6 | $0.460 | $15 | 17h ago |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Acend (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group C3DMAX | buy | 20.54 | $0.730 | $14.99 | 17h ago |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sinners (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier PlayoffsNIP | buy | 23.43 | $0.640 | $15 | 17h ago |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BAlliance | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | 18h ago |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Bmagic | buy | 32.68 | $0.400 | $13.07 | 22h ago |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Bmagic | buy | 36.58 | $0.400 | $14.63 | 22h ago |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Bmagic | buy | 36.58 | $0.400 | $14.63 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 70.59 | $0.390 | $27.53 | 1d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 126.96 | $0.450 | $57.08 | 1d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.660 | $9.9 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 1d ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 294.11 | $0.170 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsK27 | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 205.88 | $0.340 | $70 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.95 | $0.939 | $14.98 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.95 | $0.939 | $14.98 | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsMisa Esports | buy | 32.54 | $0.400 | $13.02 | 1d ago |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)G2 | buy | 35.71 | $0.420 | $15 | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BFURIA | buy | 17.85 | $0.840 | $14.99 | 1d ago |
| Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)FURIA | buy | 25.86 | $0.580 | $15 | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BAlliance | buy | 40.26 | $0.260 | $10.47 | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BAlliance | buy | 53.57 | $0.280 | $15 | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsMisa Esports | buy | 32.6 | $0.460 | $15 | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Bmagic | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 81.96 | $0.610 | $50 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 152.17 | $0.457 | $69.49 | 2d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.91 | $0.480 | $1.4 | 2d ago |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsSpirit | buy | 23.43 | $0.640 | $15 | 3d ago |
 Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.330 | $15 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsSpirit | buy | 23.43 | $0.640 | $15 | 3d ago |