Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15.5% on 18 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 18 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 7.5% on 21 Feb 2026. $27.03K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 1 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 15.5% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 1.6% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by
| daroghi | Yes | 30 |
| Solar Oracle 1EE4 | Yes | 12.5 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| asfdt22 | Yes | 6.32 |
| 3umf | Yes | 5 |
| Hinshaw | Yes | 5 |
| rikitikitaki | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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