Analytics
Yes is at 3.9%, down 24 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 28 May 2026.
Across the 149 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 1 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 3 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.1%; a month before, 9.1%. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 7% on 8 Aug 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations”.
$7.73K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.98K, with a 4.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 56 trades, $9.53 bought Yes and $4.42K bought No; the largest was a $3.69K buy of No at 93.6¢.
The largest Yes position is Trabajador2 with 700 shares; the largest No position is aviato with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 91.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 149 points, 28 May 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 27.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 3.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aviato | No | 2.18K |
| Trabajador2 | Yes | 700 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 540.75 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892
6 more markets, none above 4.9%.
| thecaricature |
| Yes |
| 280 |
| Digital-Boy | Yes | 186.04 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 164 |
| Hyperlong | No | 101.7 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 84 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 82 |
| GUINESS123 | No | 58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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