Analytics
Yes is at 15%, down 34 points from 49% when the market opened on 28 May 2026.
Across the 149 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%; a month before, 19%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 47% on 9 Aug 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations”.
$142.91 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $20.14K since listing. The order book holds $3.83K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 293 trades, $711.82 bought Yes and $8.21K bought No; the largest was a $3.88K buy of No at 78.2¢.
The largest Yes position is negativePNL with 1.7K shares; the largest No position is Stonktrader with 4.9K. Ten wallets hold 82.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Jan 2027, 84 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 149 points, 28 May 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 49.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stonktrader | No | 4.87K |
| negativePNL | Yes | 1.67K |
| 20YrsOfBoredom | No | 1.04K |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892
7 more markets, none above 5.9%.
| Haradwaith |
| Yes |
| 811.82 |
| pleasefademe | Yes | 499.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 475.7 |
| Hyperlong | Yes | 418.89 |
| Indigo Atlas 9912 | Yes | 403.1 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 400 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 365.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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