Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | Yes | 817 | $0.610 | $559.65 | +$61.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 573 |
| $0.890 |
| $492.78 |
| -$17.19 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? | No | 549.35 | $0.764 | $424.92 | +$5.22 |
 Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | No | 675.67 | $0.620 | $402.02 | -$16.89 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat? | Yes | 419.36 | $0.920 | $392.1 | +$6.29 |
 Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 432 | $0.900 | $382.32 | -$6.48 |
 Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections? | Yes | 385.33 | $0.937 | $371.26 | +$10.21 |
 Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 950.9 | $0.335 | $365.62 | +$47.07 |
 Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | No | 428.17 | $0.850 | $340.39 | -$23.55 |
 Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | Yes | 352 | $0.900 | $308 | -$8.8 |
| Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | No | 468.69 | $0.600 | $288.25 | +$7.03 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 400 | $0.710 | $278 | -$6 |
 Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election? | Yes | 257 | $0.932 | $244.54 | +$5.01 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 300 | $0.810 | $241.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election? | No | 319 | $0.810 | $237.66 | -$20.74 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 262 | $0.910 | $237.11 | -$1.31 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 275.83 | $0.870 | $235.84 | -$4.14 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 333 | $0.756 | $226.61 | -$25.14 |
 Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | No | 331.66 | $0.810 | $200.32 | -$68.32 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 241 | $0.860 | $191.6 | -$15.67 |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | Yes | 271.85 | $0.660 | $190.3 | +$10.87 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 563.37 | $0.480 | $188.73 | -$81.69 |
 Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 472.86 | $0.460 | $184.42 | -$33.1 |
 Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | No | 224.99 | $0.889 | $180.55 | -$19.46 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? | No | 185.74 | $0.985 | $179.24 | -$3.71 |
| sell |
| 1.2 |
| $0.973 |
| $1.17 |
| 8h ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.996 | $2.09 | 2d ago |
 Will Marina JHC win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?No | sell | 4 | $0.640 | $2.56 | 2d ago |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?No | sell | 0.71 | $0.150 | $0.11 | 2d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.071 | $0.08 | 3d ago |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 1.64 | $0.643 | $1.05 | 3d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1 | $0.920 | $0.92 | 3d ago |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 0.32 | $0.731 | $0.23 | 3d ago |
 Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?No | sell | 4.8 | $0.180 | $0.86 | 5d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.54 | $0.022 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
 Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.664 | $0.2 | 6d ago |
 Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?No | sell | 4.62 | $0.618 | $2.86 | 6d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | sell | 2.8 | $0.219 | $0.61 | 6d ago |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.45 | $0.280 | $0.97 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.798 | $3.66 | 9d ago |
 Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?No | sell | 4 | $0.190 | $0.76 | 10d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.34 | $0.931 | $3.11 | 11d ago |
 Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?No | sell | 1 | $0.450 | $0.45 | 13d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?No | sell | 3.42 | $0.052 | $0.18 | 15d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.96 | $0.049 | $0.24 | 16d ago |
 Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?No | sell | 3 | $0.014 | $0.04 | 17d ago |
 Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4.92 | $0.540 | $2.66 | 17d ago |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.106 | $0.15 | 19d ago |
 Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Yes | sell | 3.66 | $0.370 | $1.35 | 21d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?No | sell | 4.3 | $0.700 | $3.01 | 21d ago |
 Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.168 | $0.3 | 22d ago |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.48 | $0.470 | $2.11 | 22d ago |
 Will Nene Royal advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.002 | $0 | 22d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | 23d ago |
 Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.036 | $0.04 | 23d ago |
 Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?No | sell | 20 | $0.031 | $0.62 | 24d ago |
 Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 3.88 | $0.672 | $2.61 | 24d ago |
 Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?No | sell | 4.46 | $0.270 | $1.2 | 24d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 4.81 | $0.028 | $0.13 | 24d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.380 | $1.55 | 24d ago |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 2.18 | $0.760 | $1.66 | 24d ago |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.330 | $0.89 | 25d ago |
 Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 2 | $0.640 | $1.28 | 25d ago |
 Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.010 | $0.15 | 25d ago |
| Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | 25d ago |
| Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | 25d ago |
| Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | 25d ago |
| Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | 25d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.340 | $1.02 | 25d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 1.7 | $0.670 | $1.14 | 25d ago |
 Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?No | sell | 3.62 | $0.090 | $0.33 | 25d ago |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 4.84 | $0.130 | $0.63 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 15?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.370 | $1.27 | 26d ago |
 Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.060 | $0.01 | 26d ago |