Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 26 points from 30.5% when the market opened on 16 Jan 2026.
Across the 259 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 16 Jun 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.3%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 22.5% on 17 Jun 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “What will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest reach in 2026?”.
$15.34K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.97K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 234 trades, $252.36 bought Yes and $4.09K bought No; the largest was a $1.23K sell of No at 96.4¢.
The largest Yes position is Mushy-Ox-Aunt with 545 shares; the largest No position is longdated-poli with 627. Ten wallets hold 86.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 259 points, 16 Jan 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | 30.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| longdated-poli | No | 627.15 |
| Mushy-Ox-Aunt | Yes | 544.81 |
| UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU | No | 344.52 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at: https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3 The value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart. A daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-hyperliquid-hip-3-open-interest-reach-2026
| Rapid Maven 2EF4 | No | 337.83 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 293.84 |
| tj69 | No | 192.59 |
| Wordsmith | Yes | 187.51 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 175 |
| taerv534 | Yes | 157.04 |
| Digital-Boy | No | 156 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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