Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.400 | $14.25 | -$5.75 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.820 |
| $9.5 |
| -$6.9 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.450 | $6.1 | -$2.9 |
 Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | Yes | 20 | $0.470 | $4.2 | -$5.2 |
 Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election? | No | 20 | $0.340 | $0.89 | -$5.91 |
 Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Yes | 20 | $0.380 | $0.57 | -$7.03 |
 Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Yes | 20 | $0.240 | $0.52 | -$4.28 |
 Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.290 | $0.51 | -$5.29 |
 Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Yes | 20 | $0.254 | $0.44 | -$4.64 |
 Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? | No | 20 | $0.310 | $0.22 | -$5.98 |
 Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $0.21 | -$4.79 |
 Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $0.05 | -$4.95 |
 Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | Yes | 20 | $0.170 | $0.02 | -$3.38 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.110 | $0.01 | -$2.19 |
| sell |
| 3.41 |
| $0.550 |
| $1.88 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?Yes | sell | 47.22 | $0.600 | $28.33 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?No | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.288 | $5.76 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.661 | $13.22 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q2 adjusted revenue be above $12.5B?Yes | sell | 8.02 | $0.650 | $5.21 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.571 | $28.56 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?No | sell | 24.81 | $0.058 | $1.44 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 California Clinic Funding PropositionYes | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.1B?No | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.941 | $18.82 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.47 | $0.187 | $0.46 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.37 | $0.214 | $1.36 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.16 | $0.230 | $2.57 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.830 | $31.92 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.961 | $48.03 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in July?No | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?No | sell | 50 | $0.530 | $26.48 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.082 | $4.1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.971 | $19.42 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.565 | $28.26 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 20 | $0.182 | $3.65 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Elliot Anderson join Chelsea?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in July 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?No | sell | 70 | $0.286 | $20.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of June 29 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.181 | $9.07 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?No | sell | 42.04 | $0.690 | $29.01 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |