Analytics
Yes is at 4.9%, down 42 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 116 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 28 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 4.5% on 28 Jun 2026.
Shameka Parrish-Wright ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “2026 Louisville Mayoral Election Winner”. Craig Greenberg leads at 94%.
$486.76 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.94K since listing. The order book holds $21.34K, with a 3.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 71 trades, $38.32 bought Yes and $1.45K bought No; the largest was a $1.14K buy of No at 79.7¢.
The largest Yes position is Odd-Relish with 190 shares; the largest No position is FrozenParasite with 421. Ten wallets hold 91.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 116 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 46.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite | No | 421.21 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 190 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 129.75 |
The 2026 Louisville mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Louisville, KY. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Louisville as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Kentucky and the Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-louisville-mayoral-election-winner-20260626001838911
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 119.69 |
| Rr55 | No | 116.12 |
| ABC12345654321 | Yes | 74.06 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 69.9 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 53.81 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 47.23 |
| DuneMentat | No | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
