Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 26% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 5 Jul 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 21% on 2 Jul 2026. $8.33K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 6:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 5 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 26.0% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 389.06 |
| 0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b | Yes | 341 |
| poks-4aa651b3-6bb4-4b11-9535-281dcffee86b | Yes | 337.18 |
| dropmeplease | Yes |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during July 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-north-korea-missile-tests-in-july-2026-20260626154530205
| 102.72 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| RustyScissors | Yes | 70 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 63.99 |
| TeenagePanda | Yes | 58.33 |
| cwc909 | Yes | 50 |
| Scaly-Arena | Yes | 33.33 |
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