Analytics
Yes is at 6.6%, down 19 points from 26% when the market opened on 11 Jun 2026.
Across the 134 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26% on 11 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.7%; a month before, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 6% on 18 Jun 2026.
Herman Mashaba ranks fourth of the 8 outcomes in “Next Mayor of Johannesburg?”. Helen Zille leads at 57.5%; David Makhura is at 14.2%.
$17.42K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.98K, with a 10.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 237 trades, $907.93 bought Yes and $4.33K bought No; the largest was a $1.93K buy of No at 75.7¢.
The largest Yes position is PS1990 with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3K. Ten wallets hold 86.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 17 Nov 2026, 19 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 134 points, 11 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | 26.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 6.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.01K |
| PS1990 | Yes | 1.1K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 550 |
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-johannesburg-20260609220245506
| varch01 |
| No |
| 456.31 |
| Bp1863 | Yes | 374.21 |
| cowcat | Yes | 317 |
| Butho | Yes | 225.35 |
| sleepymonkey | Yes | 209.92 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 187.06 |
| caseyn6 | Yes | 137.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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