Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 40%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 29 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 25 Dec 2025 and the lowest 20.5% on 13 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 55% on 22 Nov 2025. $365.32K traded over the market's life.
78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 22.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 40.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rousseauuu | No | 27.67K |
| AishahSofey | No | 9.33K |
| Rewardsfarm | No | 5K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027
5 more markets, none above 10.2%.
| Violet Vector B233 | No | 4.15K |
| Anon5566 | No | 3.58K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 3.49K |
| Heyo0292 | No | 1.19K |
| vacherot69 | No | 471 |
| Mica1 | No | 448.76 |
| Lunar Vector 77B6 | No | 85.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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