Yes is at 26.5%, up 2.5 points from 24% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 29.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 29.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
0.2% ranks second of the 9 outcomes in “October Inflation US - Monthly”. 0.3% leads at 38%; 0.4% is at 15.5%.
$200.93 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.93K since listing. The order book holds $1.52K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 106 trades, $569.63 bought Yes and $1.05K bought No.
The largest Yes position is grinder1011 with 1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 883. Ten wallets hold 98.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Nov 2026, 19 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 4:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 24.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| grinder1011 | Yes | 1.01K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 883.25 |
| 7418399 | No | 370 |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/october-inflation-us-monthly
| Fitting-Cost |
| Yes |
| 153 |
| AJSV | Yes | 109.84 |
| 38791873984189 | Yes | 82.7 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 55 |
| 123987456 | No | 43 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 40 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 28.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page