Analytics
Yes is at 16.5%, down 7 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 24.5% on 18 Oct 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 15.5% on 16 Oct 2026.
0.4% ranks third of the 9 outcomes in “October Inflation US - Monthly”. 0.3% leads at 38%; 0.2% is at 26.5%.
$58.47 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.44K since listing. The order book holds $4.39K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 122 trades, $914.19 bought Yes and $1.43K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 17735977 with 2.6K shares; the largest No position is Gaditima with 1K. Ten wallets hold 93.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Nov 2026, 19 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/october-inflation-us-monthly
| Prickly-Eyrie |
| No |
| 968.16 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 883.25 |
| grinder1011 | No | 659.03 |
| AJSV | Yes | 295.23 |
| 38791873984189 | No | 118.62 |
| eqzwe103qwie | No | 102 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 84.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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