Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 13 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23.5% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 13.5% on 16 Oct 2026.
≤0.1% ranks third of the 9 outcomes in “October Inflation US - Monthly”. 0.3% leads at 46%; 0.2% is at 30%.
$184.42 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.49K since listing. The order book holds $6.56K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 127 trades, $467.35 bought Yes and $3.26K bought No; the largest was a $1.19K buy of No at 84.0¢.
The largest Yes position is grinder1011 with 3.7K shares; the largest No position is 17735977 with 3.2K. Ten wallets hold 95.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Nov 2026, 14 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| grinder1011 | Yes | 3.7K |
| 17735977 | No | 3.23K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.07K |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/october-inflation-us-monthly
| Prickly-Eyrie |
| Yes |
| 487.2 |
| Crabsoup92 | No | 440.35 |
| 7418399 | No | 330 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 263.92 |
| Fitting-Cost | Yes | 140.82 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 133.1 |
| 38791873984189 | Yes | 120.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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