Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80.5%. Yes opened at 56% on 28 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 196 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 21 Aug 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.5% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 15% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 53.5% on 31 Jan 2026. $77.61K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 196 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 21 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 56.0% |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 80.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VibeyQuant | No | 11.18K |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | No | 2.03K |
| horatio | No | 1.53K |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between January 27, 2026, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027
| BerkshireHahaway | No | 1.07K |
| phdcapital | No | 1.06K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 960 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 155.92 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 80 |
| adwwas | No | 66.53 |
| Scaly-Arena | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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