Analytics
Yes is at 42.5%, up 15 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 3 Apr 2026.
The high was 54% on 16 Sep 2026 and the low 22% on 21 Jul 2026. A week ago Yes was at 34%; a month ago, 49.5%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 26.5% on 18 Sep 2026.
Ken Sim ranks second of the 13 outcomes in “Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner”. Pete Fry leads at 58.4%; Kareem Allam is at 1.3%.
$6.61K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $62.11K since listing. The order book holds $38.02K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $7.12K bought Yes and $5.13K bought No; the largest was a $1.37K buy of Yes at 44.9¢.
The largest Yes position is mrworldwide with 4.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 7.5K. Ten wallets hold 73.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 18 Oct 2026, 9 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 6:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 182 points · 3 Apr 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2026 | 27.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 42.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.49K |
| mrworldwide | Yes | 4.22K |
| anoin123 | Yes | 2.62K |
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vancouver-mayoral-election-winner
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
| StraddleSeller |
| Yes |
| 2.42K |
| Vancouvertrader | Yes | 1.61K |
| macrosteaks | No | 1.14K |
| Haradwaith | No | 1.1K |
| kittycat67 | No | 884 |
| WahFist | Yes | 586.6 |
| whispercatalyst | No | 558.18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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