Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Mar 2026.
$46.9K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 4:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 4 Mar 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 98.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 525 |
| ScienceDog | No | 500 |
| Cassiopeian | No | 159.66 |
| 5atka | No | 150.83 |
| 88mnm88 | No | 150 |
| Dankwizart420 | No | 141.05 |
| bjprolo | No | 100 |
| Schmeter | No | 78.15 |
| Youpi237 | No | 45.45 |
| PX5300 | No | 29.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Rules
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-usisrael-target-in-iran-by-march-31
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