Analytics
Yes is at 3.5%, down 29 points from 33% when the market opened on 21 Nov 2025.
Across the 316 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55.5% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.7% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 55.5% on 12 Mar 2026.
It is one of 71 markets under “Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?”.
$4.98K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.02K, with a 3.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 194 trades, $130.86 bought Yes and $1.1K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Lavincey with 379 shares; the largest No position is mombil with 938. Ten wallets hold 90.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 316 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 33.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mombil | No | 938.13 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 379.03 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 167.8 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027
58 more markets, none above 6.9%.
| Jade Beacon E3EA |
| Yes |
| 129 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 115.72 |
| PK123 | No | 83.25 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 45 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 45 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 40 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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