Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 9 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 21 Nov 2025.
The high was 15% on 1 Feb 2026 and the low 3.5% on 28 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 4.1%; a month ago, 4.2%.
It is one of 71 markets under “Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?”.
$4.12K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.71K, with a 2.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 156 trades, $55.18 bought Yes and $1.3K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 335 shares; the largest No position is mombil with 688. Ten wallets hold 98.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 78 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 9:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 308 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 15 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 13.5% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mombil | No | 688.26 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 335.32 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 166.58 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027
58 more markets, none above 6.9%.
| i2dt |
| No |
| 156.41 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 150 |
| akunai | Yes | 100 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| LBZbot2 | Yes | 38.36 |
| daroghi | Yes | 30 |
| pilais | No | 8.31 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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