Analytics
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in October?
economyActive
Closes Nov 25, 2026 UTC
Yes
79.5%
No
20.5%
Yes costs 79.5¢No costs 20.5¢
24h Volume
$193
Total volume
$8.0K
Liquidity
$4.0K
Closes
Nov 25, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 79.5%, up 44 points from 35.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 17 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 79.5% on 14 Nov 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 6 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 30.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 77.5% on 14 Nov 2026.
0.3% is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “Core PCE MoM - October 2026”, ahead of 0.4% at 12%.
Across the latest 198 trades, $2.45K bought Yes and $955.79 bought No.
Ten wallets hold 82.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 35.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 79.5% |
All outcomes
Core PCE MoM - October 2026
- 10.3%This market$7.98K traded79.5%
- 20.4%$5.06K traded12.0%
- 30.2%
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jkerkela | Yes | 1.85K |
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 1.12K |
| perfectnostalgia | Yes | 618.89 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index, bea.gov/news/schedule. Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-october-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports