Analytics
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.6% or more in October?
economyActive
Closes Nov 25, 2026 UTC
Yes
0.3%
No
99.7%
Yes costs 0.3¢No costs 99.7¢
24h Volume
$1.1K
Total volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$4.3K
Closes
Nov 25, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 0.3%, down 23 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 23.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 14 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 4% on 31 Oct 2026.
0.6%+ ranks seventh of the 7 outcomes in “Core PCE MoM - October 2026”. 0.3% leads at 79.5%; 0.4% is at 12%.
Across the latest 57 trades, $21.56 bought Yes and $645.47 bought No.
Ten wallets hold 87.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 0.3% |
All outcomes
Core PCE MoM - October 2026
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 1.12K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 431 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 148.23 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index, bea.gov/news/schedule. Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-october-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports