Analytics
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in October?
economyActive
Closes Nov 25, 2026 UTC
Yes
7.7%
No
92.3%
Yes costs 7.7¢No costs 92.3¢
24h Volume
$4.2K
Total volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$6.1K
Closes
Nov 25, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 7.7%, down 24 points from 31.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 55.5% on 31 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4.1% on 13 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 39%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 55.5% on 31 Oct 2026.
0.2% ranks third of the 7 outcomes in “Core PCE MoM - October 2026”. 0.3% leads at 79.5%; 0.4% is at 12%.
The best bid and the best ask are 4.4% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 103 trades, $385.34 bought Yes and $929.7 bought No.
Ten wallets hold 83.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 5.5% |
All outcomes
Core PCE MoM - October 2026
- 10.3%$7.98K traded79.5%
- 20.4%$5.06K traded12.0%
- 30.2%This market
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 1.12K |
| Antony82 | Yes | 502.42 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 314.71 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index, bea.gov/news/schedule. Trading closes on 25 Nov 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-october-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports