Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, about where the market opened on 18 Apr 2026.
The high was 4.5% on 8 Jun 2026 and the low 0.1% on 2 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 0.1%; a month ago, 0.1%.
Bruno Fernandes ranks 16th of the 19 outcomes in “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”. Harry Kane leads at 65%; Lamine Yamal is at 28.1%.
$713.24K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $931.89K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $32.03 bought Yes and $8.04K bought No.
The largest Yes position is JustCrazy with 309K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.45M. Ten wallets hold 81.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 80 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 1:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 174 points · 18 Apr 2026 – 11 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 0.4% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.45M |
| JustCrazy | Yes | 308.97K |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 146.05K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2026
6 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| kneelbeforetheking | Yes | 111.78K |
| HOG993 | Yes | 69K |
| donthackme | Yes | 61.47K |
| Gucky-45 | Yes | 59.4K |
| ofgoodtsjustmoney | Yes | 55K |
| cigarettes | Yes | 54.38K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 42.57K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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