Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?

Name: Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No · settled Oct 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.4M

Resolved

Settled

Oct 1, 2025 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
vladonix	Yes	37.39K	8.0%	$3K
Frightful	Yes	29.06K	0.3%	$90.41	Sep 30, 6:14 PM UTC
bombo	Yes	24.04K	1.1%	$265.88
Hall-ex	Yes	15.67K	1.6%	$253.78
MrNimbus123	Yes	10K	27.2%	$2.72K
lovefamilyguitar	Yes	10K	2.0%	$200
nickes	Yes	7.21K	4.2%	$300
bachelet2	Yes	6.87K	2.2%	$152.68
yeyeyeyy	Yes	6.67K	3.0%	$199.99
Brando22	Yes	5.31K	3.8%	$200
zagga	Yes	5.05K	34.0%	$1.72K
jjrambo	Yes	4.01K	2.5%	$98.28	Sep 30, 3:18 AM UTC
anonymooseee	Yes	4K	6.0%	$239.95
EnzoTheTiger	Yes	3.87K	1.2%	$48	Sep 30, 7:07 PM UTC
uuu1992	Yes	3.09K	4.5%	$138.51	Sep 30, 4:55 PM UTC
0Ryu0	Yes	2.29K	43.6%	$996.79
Sour-Cousin	Yes	2.25K	2.3%	$50.92
stojanjo	Yes	2.01K	2.5%	$49.92
Dell.hefty.4D	Yes	1.92K	2.2%	$42.5	Sep 30, 4:21 AM UTC
worldliberty10	Yes	1.76K	2.8%	$50
BruceGains	Yes	1.66K	0.6%	$10	Sep 30, 11:41 PM UTC
JP1	Yes	1.11K	2.6%	$28.73
DrG-316	Yes	1K	57.0%	$570
LowValue	Yes	1K	70.0%	$700
fireman0101	Yes	904.99	41.2%	$372.7
VYVT125	Yes	901.17	57.2%	$515.66
zerglemon	Yes	884.44	0.9%	$8
Gullible-Beginner	Yes	876.87	1.1%	$10	Sep 30, 8:05 AM UTC
TonyChao	Yes	859.05	2.8%	$24	Sep 30, 1:02 PM UTC
Majestic-Leisure	Yes	769.23	13.0%	$100
jjjtesty	Yes	769.23	13.0%	$100
xuyang	Yes	699.62	42.0%	$293.84
tomn	Yes	675.12	61.0%	$411.82
betdragon	Yes	592.9	5.1%	$30
EGH	Yes	592.43	50.5%	$299.14
publiusval	Yes	524.95	1.9%	$10
Phatsuit	Yes	500	4.0%	$20
Scimi	Yes	484.71	14.0%	$67.86
quant91	Yes	476.84	60.8%	$289.87
Martiini	Yes	449.06	50.3%	$225.81
greensbeans	Yes	408.89	2.6%	$10.63
KenCLY	Yes	399.91	38.0%	$151.97
seoultrades	Yes	384.62	26.0%	$100
Niles	Yes	366.05	1.4%	$5
Ironclad-Fibrosis	Yes	364.19	6.6%	$24
cheering	Yes	340.91	44.0%	$150
hamishk	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1	Sep 30, 2:18 PM UTC
ScienceDog	Yes	300	2.3%	$6.9
Rewarding-Cummerbund	Yes	285.71	1.4%	$4
ed19	Yes	283.33	7.0%	$20
HULK	Yes	260	38.0%	$98.8
PithyBeach599	Yes	257.86	37.0%	$95.41
Gingernuts	Yes	250	2.0%	$5
simpleox	Yes	250	2.0%	$5
Wuppitina	Yes	250	0.4%	$1	Sep 30, 12:37 PM UTC
CharlesDrake28	Yes	246.34	44.6%	$110
arsik1411	Yes	186.67	0.9%	$1.68
crtrdr	Yes	175.44	57.0%	$100
tradingglitch	Yes	170	2.4%	$4.08
LNCN	Yes	169.49	59.0%	$100
Rapid Lynx C4E3	Yes	161.29	62.0%	$100
Borcea69	Yes	155.69	7.1%	$11.03
Iguanagreg	Yes	150.94	5.3%	$8
Useful-Uniform	Yes	130	0.4%	$0.52
MiniMonty	Yes	125	1.6%	$2
Staid-Purse	Yes	125	8.0%	$10
Helpful-Fright	Yes	121.85	13.0%	$15.84
Xgs	Yes	121	38.0%	$45.98
Bite-Sized-Airbag	Yes	117.65	1.7%	$2
ding001	Yes	114.29	2.1%	$2.4
lhxjk	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1	Sep 30, 6:46 AM UTC
Brisk-Chronicle	Yes	100	4.3%	$4.3
Dull-Favor	Yes	100	10.0%	$10
DDALDDALI	Yes	100	1.0%	$1	Sep 30, 9:10 AM UTC
Scuko	Yes	100	3.2%	$3.2
xuanhe	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
OP001	Yes	100	2.6%	$2.6	Sep 30, 5:16 AM UTC
pandatown	Yes	100	3.1%	$3.1
logicalmystery	Yes	95.24	2.1%	$2
Pinky123	Yes	92.59	54.0%	$50
gambler42069	Yes	90.91	11.0%	$10
ZS2504	Yes	90	59.4%	$53.5
Violet Beacon 3D76	Yes	89.29	56.0%	$50
LABERY	Yes	86.96	2.3%	$2
vzzzxvsd	Yes	86	49.0%	$42.14
vacations	Yes	83.33	2.4%	$2
Tradali	Yes	83.33	2.4%	$2
Zainuuu	Yes	83.33	1.2%	$1
chiriloi	Yes	80.3	66.0%	$53
T1515T1503	No	80.24	99.7%	$80	Sep 30, 8:23 AM UTC
T190303030	No	80	99.8%	$79.84	Oct 1, 12:07 AM UTC
fgnfnfgn	Yes	78	45.0%	$35.1
Briomaglos	Yes	76.97	5.2%	$4
zjpjy	Yes	76.92	1.3%	$1	Sep 30, 8:47 AM UTC
ERGE3	Yes	71	62.0%	$44.02
sportswoman	Yes	70	57.0%	$39.9
34T353	Yes	70	58.0%	$40.6
HalfIronman	Yes	67.67	31.0%	$21
Saltyrug	Yes	67.54	20.7%	$14
CryptoMark7	Yes	64.39	12.4%	$8
hengw	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$1
Ezail	Yes	61.7	32.4%	$20
nicknicknick	Yes	60.5	1.7%	$1
SDGEWF	Yes	60	60.8%	$36.5
newmindflow	Yes	56.62	60.0%	$33.97
dopidopi	Yes	55.56	27.0%	$15
SACASSACWE	Yes	55	53.0%	$29.15
Leonar3d	Yes	54.05	37.0%	$20
6U5K67K76	Yes	54	39.0%	$21.06
Dpress	Yes	52.63	3.8%	$2
rosebud990	Yes	52.22	61.3%	$32
EWFTW4ETEY	Yes	51	53.0%	$27.03
friday0016	Yes	50.85	5.9%	$3
Gabe22	Yes	50.01	4.0%	$2
dab01	Yes	50	50.0%	$25
DMR46	Yes	50	2.0%	$1	Sep 30, 1:21 AM UTC
Cill	Yes	40.01	58.0%	$23.2
zengziji	Yes	40	2.5%	$1
teniolasmart	Yes	40	2.5%	$1
Jacob2046	Yes	40	2.5%	$1
Gleaming-Produce	Yes	38.46	13.0%	$5
invictus3k	Yes	38.46	52.0%	$20
2491	Yes	38	54.0%	$20.52
zhouzuoren	Yes	37.5	40.0%	$15
Extra-Large-Tonic	Yes	37.04	2.7%	$1
U56U56U5	Yes	36	39.0%	$14.04
Majo72	Yes	35.71	56.0%	$20
xiaolicha	Yes	35.71	56.0%	$20
Wolfdeutschland	Yes	34.48	58.0%	$20
T34T	Yes	34	41.0%	$13.94
Veerla	Yes	33.14	70.0%	$23.2
65U56U	Yes	32	41.0%	$13.12
cryptobrosiuuu	Yes	31.25	64.0%	$20
xiaoxiaoyi	Yes	30	40.0%	$12
1243456	Yes	30	67.0%	$20.1
axeee	No	28.95	98.4%	$28.49
GlassellPloyPool	Yes	28.57	7.0%	$2
Patchsohulihan	Yes	28.25	59.0%	$16.67
Jabbahutt	Yes	27.78	3.6%	$1
6Y55	Yes	27	41.0%	$11.07
yojimbo24	Yes	26.92	52.0%	$14
Coconaldinho	Yes	26.79	56.0%	$15
adnk	Yes	26.32	3.8%	$1
krissta	Yes	26.32	38.0%	$10
ewgh4y42	No	26	99.9%	$25.97	Sep 30, 2:45 PM UTC
killer7	Yes	25.64	39.0%	$10
xiaoyaofawai	Yes	25	40.0%	$10
Botadouro	Yes	25	41.0%	$10.25
saur	Yes	23.81	42.0%	$10
Empty555	Yes	23.29	26.6%	$6.2
RexT13	Yes	23.26	43.0%	$10
Andrewwwy	Yes	23.08	13.0%	$3
FlorianEM	Yes	23	4.3%	$0.99
bluebluebluezzz	Yes	22.22	45.0%	$10
Nartomat	Yes	21.62	37.0%	$8
Zen88	Yes	21.43	14.0%	$3
Tikent	Yes	20.83	40.0%	$8.33
prexx	Yes	20.69	58.0%	$12
Jjjjjjjj	Yes	20	50.0%	$10
Immaterial-Height	Yes	20	5.0%	$1
ShuaiG	No	20	57.0%	$11.4
DPcapital	Yes	19.98	25.0%	$5
danito	Yes	19.61	51.0%	$10
Aiden-P2P	Yes	19.61	51.0%	$10
BinaWeb3	Yes	18.52	54.0%	$10
stachni	Yes	17.07	41.0%	$7
schaude	Yes	17.07	41.0%	$7
metaverseanon	Yes	16.67	60.0%	$10
cqcl	Yes	16.67	6.0%	$1
LKB	Yes	16.67	6.0%	$1
metaculus	Yes	16.13	62.0%	$10
fikebre	Yes	15.91	44.0%	$7
choboza	No	15.7	99.9%	$15.68	Sep 30, 8:57 PM UTC
Batman11	Yes	15.63	64.0%	$10
saman1367	Yes	15.62	37.0%	$5.78
Tan-Realm	Yes	14.63	41.0%	$6
Wet-Smog	Yes	14.55	55.0%	$8
Emerald Raven 0FDD	Yes	14.29	14.0%	$2
Sp1cee	Yes	14.29	70.0%	$10
mekio	Yes	13.95	43.0%	$6
neftyanik	Yes	13.89	72.0%	$10
PhilippeRogiest	Yes	13.34	38.0%	$5.07
Pushy-District	No	12.83	76.0%	$9.75
gladejuhl	Yes	12.77	47.0%	$6
criscrt	Yes	12.68	71.0%	$9
accf	Yes	12.5	56.0%	$7
Jamesgains	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
PlyMKTS	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
bigmannn	Yes	11.9	42.0%	$5
Enchanted-Fiddle	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1
aliase	Yes	11.11	54.0%	$6
AlexOlex	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1
realsir	Yes	11.11	63.0%	$7
zucki	Yes	11	13.0%	$1.43
vjones	Yes	10.87	46.0%	$5
certhool	Yes	10.77	65.0%	$7
criskcc	Yes	10.71	56.0%	$6
Plump-Scorpion	Yes	10.64	47.0%	$5
Husky-Zipper	Yes	10.57	56.8%	$6
prosien	Yes	10.47	43.0%	$4.5
crisery	Yes	10.45	67.0%	$7
Fuxey	Yes	10.42	57.8%	$6.02
Elated-Consist	Yes	10.26	39.0%	$4
Frittenfritz	Yes	10.26	39.0%	$4
Crafty-Diner	Yes	10.26	39.0%	$4
fdsfs23	Yes	10	16.0%	$1.6
Decimal-Obi	Yes	10	42.0%	$4.2
Other-Observation	Yes	10	40.0%	$4
juliy	Yes	10	70.0%	$7
CraigKennedy	Yes	10	70.0%	$7
aelk	Yes	10	59.0%	$5.9
Spanish-Icecream	Yes	10	40.0%	$4
hookbnf	Yes	10	65.0%	$6.5
Gripping-Honoree	Yes	10	74.0%	$7.4
2zero	Yes	10	12.0%	$1.2
maniol	Yes	10	72.0%	$7.2
odesshuk	Yes	9.76	41.0%	$4
hautam	Yes	9.76	41.0%	$4
helvie	Yes	9.76	41.0%	$4
gereat	Yes	9.68	62.0%	$6
romana	Yes	9.52	42.0%	$4
sotach	Yes	9.52	42.0%	$4
b2caca	Yes	9.5	12.0%	$1.14
crishope	Yes	9.33	75.0%	$7
criswert	Yes	9.31	64.5%	$6
Lsdkool	Yes	9.23	65.0%	$6
fosdick	Yes	9.09	44.0%	$4
vaalay	Yes	9.09	55.0%	$5
waskey	Yes	9.09	44.0%	$4
criskc	Yes	8.96	67.0%	$6
crisxyy	Yes	8.96	67.0%	$6
Strong-Jackfruit	Yes	8.89	45.0%	$4
Frightening-Fight	Yes	8.82	68.0%	$6
AdiorDior	Yes	8.57	35.0%	$3
Cheerful-Deodorant	Yes	8.51	47.0%	$4
WatermELON73a	Yes	8.47	59.0%	$5
detle	Yes	8.33	42.0%	$3.5
burrial	Yes	8.33	42.0%	$3.5
Dosik	Yes	8.33	12.0%	$1
Guguzi	Yes	8.33	12.0%	$1
hearin520	Yes	8.25	57.0%	$4.7
content	Yes	8.14	43.0%	$3.5
stroke	Yes	8.14	43.0%	$3.5
jackercy	Yes	8.06	62.0%	$5
BHJS	Yes	8	75.0%	$6
cindypetersen	Yes	7.89	38.0%	$3
Extroverted-Outlaw	Yes	7.78	45.0%	$3.5
hookcry	Yes	7.69	65.0%	$5
ColbLang	Yes	7.69	26.0%	$2
franknsy	Yes	7.46	67.0%	$5
Thoughtful-Art	Yes	7.32	41.0%	$3
judyge	Yes	7.32	41.0%	$3
prothbea	Yes	7.32	41.0%	$3
cophern	Yes	7.32	41.0%	$3
jackloss	Yes	7.26	62.0%	$4.5
lunac	Yes	7.14	56.0%	$4
kklly	Yes	7.14	70.0%	$5
Need4speed	Yes	7.14	14.0%	$1
Overcooked-Junket	Yes	7.14	42.0%	$3
lilihi	Yes	7.14	70.0%	$5
MONTHLYdeb	Yes	7.04	71.0%	$5
Big-Hearted-Eating	Yes	7.02	57.0%	$4
Jason198	Yes	7.01	71.3%	$5
runfola	Yes	6.98	43.0%	$3
glebcemodanov	Yes	6.94	72.0%	$5
hehetko	Yes	6.94	72.0%	$5
hookcrys	Yes	6.92	65.0%	$4.5
Loyarolder	Yes	6.85	73.0%	$5
dispenz	Yes	6.82	44.0%	$3
Expensive-Disruption	Yes	6.82	44.0%	$3
wilhoite	Yes	6.82	44.0%	$3
hamsken	Yes	6.82	44.0%	$3
Horrible-Cave	Yes	6.78	59.0%	$4
crisxrt	Yes	6.72	67.0%	$4.5
unitzero	Yes	6.67	15.0%	$1
Chief-Skullcap	Yes	6.67	45.0%	$3
Jealous-Package	Yes	6.67	45.0%	$3
DFG	Yes	6.67	75.0%	$5
dongbooling	Yes	6.58	76.0%	$5
clerrl	Yes	6.45	62.0%	$4
Second-Hand-Ballet	Yes	6.38	47.0%	$3
BAHATI	Yes	6.38	47.0%	$3
hookcoop	Yes	6.15	65.0%	$4
tudman	Yes	6.1	41.0%	$2.5
cryptonostradamus	No	6.09	84.0%	$5.12
Tyss	Yes	6	75.0%	$4.5
jimmykc	Yes	5.97	67.0%	$4
walvoor	Yes	5.95	42.0%	$2.5
swor	Yes	5.81	43.0%	$2.5
moisa	Yes	5.81	43.0%	$2.5
mullen	Yes	5.81	43.0%	$2.5
jimmle	Yes	5.8	69.0%	$4
lovebtc-891	Yes	5.71	70.0%	$4
lessry	Yes	5.65	62.0%	$3.5
jackles	Yes	5.65	62.0%	$3.5
timmyzkx	Yes	5.65	62.0%	$3.5
jackleave	Yes	5.65	62.0%	$3.5
jackloce	Yes	5.65	62.0%	$3.5
Automatic-Testimonial	Yes	5.56	45.0%	$2.5
CalvinJudson	Yes	5.45	55.0%	$3
nuwanshilpa	Yes	5.41	37.0%	$2
Bare-Remote	Yes	5.36	56.0%	$3
jackxvs	Yes	5.36	56.0%	$3
bbod	Yes	5.36	56.0%	$3
etfs	Yes	5.36	56.0%	$3
oxy1	Yes	5.26	19.0%	$1
elonkz	Yes	5.22	67.0%	$3.5
Glaring-Leptocephalus	Yes	5.22	67.0%	$3.5
kneey	Yes	5.15	68.0%	$3.5
Twin-Kebab	Yes	5.13	39.0%	$2
akarlsen96	Yes	5.08	59.0%	$3
elonyf	Yes	5.07	69.0%	$3.5
loveeth	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
Dull-Server	Yes	5	40.0%	$2
Lopsided-Accelerant	Yes	5	40.0%	$2
787c1	Yes	5	51.0%	$2.55
templexp	Yes	5	51.0%	$2.55
lovedoge	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
Kapkanixa	No	5	99.9%	$5	Sep 30, 2:14 PM UTC
Monday44	No	5	99.9%	$5	Sep 30, 1:44 PM UTC
crisddb	Yes	4.93	71.0%	$3.5
bffg	Yes	4.93	71.0%	$3.5
nec	Yes	4.92	37.0%	$1.82
Mad-Ticket	Yes	4.92	61.0%	$3
sawinsk	Yes	4.88	41.0%	$2
jackossy	Yes	4.84	62.0%	$3
hdaa	Yes	4.76	42.0%	$2
Torn-Native	Yes	4.65	43.0%	$2
marges	Yes	4.65	43.0%	$2
timmyool	Yes	4.62	65.0%	$3
hookckb	Yes	4.62	65.0%	$3
Bouncy-Spell	Yes	4.55	44.0%	$2
Trained-Aluminium	Yes	4.55	44.0%	$2
crisbh	Yes	4.48	67.0%	$3
SBearDuck	Yes	4.48	67.0%	$3
crisbhy	Yes	4.48	67.0%	$3
crisxbb	Yes	4.48	67.0%	$3
clearl	Yes	4.46	56.0%	$2.5
doll-412	Yes	4.46	56.0%	$2.5
luaner	Yes	4.46	56.0%	$2.5
jackscv	Yes	4.46	56.0%	$2.5
Expert-Measurement	Yes	4.44	45.0%	$2
Barren-Pin	Yes	4.26	47.0%	$2
Prime-Shorts	Yes	4.26	47.0%	$2
outery	Yes	4.23	71.0%	$3
Gilesbuk	Yes	4	50.0%	$2
hookbgm	Yes	3.85	65.0%	$2.5
MrV777	Yes	3.85	52.0%	$2
crisopy	Yes	3.73	67.0%	$2.5
criserk	Yes	3.73	67.0%	$2.5
timyf	Yes	3.73	67.0%	$2.5
crisdty	Yes	3.73	67.0%	$2.5
kBvPdKnkTwSxA	Yes	3.64	55.0%	$2
hookers	Yes	3.62	69.0%	$2.5
muudy	Yes	3.57	70.0%	$2.5
crisuit	Yes	3.52	71.0%	$2.5
Clumsy-Shortwave	Yes	3.51	57.0%	$2
Odd-Placement	Yes	3.49	43.0%	$1.5
Decent-Hurry	Yes	3.33	45.0%	$1.5
jimmyodd	Yes	3.33	75.0%	$2.5
Uncomfortable-Expectation	Yes	3.28	61.0%	$2
laopodiyi	Yes	3.1	42.0%	$1.3
geretyf	Yes	2.99	67.0%	$2
cloud1983	Yes	2.94	68.0%	$2
emmar	Yes	2.86	70.0%	$2
Jade Scout 8463	Yes	2.86	70.0%	$2
JimGym	Yes	2.8	55.0%	$1.54
vin1769	Yes	2.7	37.0%	$1
c911	Yes	2.7	37.0%	$1
Jozee	Yes	2.63	41.0%	$1.08
dibushi	Yes	2.56	39.0%	$1
kingamir	Yes	2.56	39.0%	$1
Mellivora	Yes	2.56	39.0%	$1
Tyrvian	Yes	2.56	50.0%	$1.28
Anonbitcoin	Yes	2.5	40.0%	$1
Worried-Opposite	Yes	2.5	40.0%	$1
petome	Yes	2.44	41.0%	$1
Keen Comet EE48	Yes	2.33	43.0%	$1
Evergreen-Con	Yes	2.33	43.0%	$1
ryrryfy	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
hgyftrhugy	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
uutyu	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Sweltering-Mallard	Yes	2.27	44.0%	$1
Empty-Argument	Yes	2.22	45.0%	$1
Ultimate-Tabby	Yes	2.22	45.0%	$1
tump7	Yes	2.22	45.0%	$1
edgtwo	Yes	2.17	46.0%	$1
moolu	Yes	2.14	70.0%	$1.5
Previous-Continuity	Yes	2.13	47.0%	$1
Grim-Aspic	Yes	2.13	47.0%	$1
ohheisgooody	Yes	2.1	62.0%	$1.3
Belindha	Yes	2.08	48.0%	$1
crjobo	Yes	2.08	48.0%	$1
iyjuiu	Yes	2.04	49.0%	$1
rtedryryh	Yes	2.04	49.0%	$1
dgzsf	Yes	2.04	49.0%	$1
KagrhenaK5	No	2.01	99.7%	$2	Sep 30, 6:17 PM UTC
Levs	No	2	99.9%	$2	Sep 30, 7:30 PM UTC
chanwise	Yes	2	50.0%	$1
monsieurtt	Yes	1.96	51.0%	$1
william2233	Yes	1.79	56.0%	$1
d3g3nboy	Yes	1.79	56.0%	$1
Piercing-Aglet	Yes	1.79	56.0%	$1
numbdigger-869	Yes	1.79	56.0%	$1
margosenorita	Yes	1.69	59.0%	$1
MakoPredict	Yes	1.67	60.0%	$1
didio-769	Yes	1.64	61.0%	$1
Some-Horizon	Yes	1.64	61.0%	$1
daquan86	Yes	1.61	62.0%	$1
Good-Natured-Gyro	Yes	1.59	63.0%	$1
baobabz	Yes	1.59	63.0%	$1
revillo1996	Yes	1.47	68.0%	$1
Kinz	Yes	1.45	69.0%	$1
Pitragor	Yes	1.45	69.0%	$1
Andurilo7	Yes	1.41	71.0%	$1
balkantesting	Yes	1.39	59.0%	$0.82
autostone	No	1.14	88.0%	$1
thedogrex	Yes	0.76	24.8%	$0.19

418 of 418 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
T1515T1503	$80.24
T190303030	$80
axeee	$28.95

Analytics