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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.86 | $0.147 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes| buy |
| 55.56 |
| $0.180 |
| $10 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BFURIA | buy | 9.2 | $0.490 | $4.51 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality | buy | 15.29 | $0.640 | $9.78 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 11?Yes | buy | 24.65 | $0.200 | $4.93 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 38.81 | $0.454 | $17.62 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?Yes | sell | 15.5 | $0.390 | $6.05 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?Yes | buy | 15.5 | $0.296 | $4.59 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.492 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.760 | $11.01 | Jan 13, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.026 | $34.98 | Dec 10, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 713.93 | $0.028 | $19.99 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 713.14 | $0.070 | $49.92 | Dec 8, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.060 | $100 | Dec 8, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 366.17 | $0.060 | $21.97 | Dec 8, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.090 | $50 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 215.68 | $0.046 | $10 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2025?Yes | buy | 32.19 | $0.311 | $10 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.185 | $18.5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.051 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?Yes | sell | 47.02 | $0.991 | $46.6 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.700 | $17.07 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | buy | 50.7 | $0.592 | $30 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.45 | $0.364 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.640 | $19.39 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.630 | $7 | Sep 16, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 10-16?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?Up | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Apr 8, 2025 |